Meteorologists are predicting La Niña conditions will continue through the winter. They suspect a 91% chance the La Niña conditions will last from September to November. As reported by the National Weather Service’s Climate Prediction Center.
In short, it looks like this La Niña fall is set to be another hot one. With the exception of the most northern regional states that border Canada, the forecast expects to see above-average temperatures from September through November in every other state in the country.
Coastal California has a 40% chance of being hotter than average; whereas, Southern California has an even stronger chance of extra heat in the fall.
Though California overall isn’t projected to have an overly extreme wet or dry fall. However, being the 3rd La Nina pattern in a row, in a state already suffering from extreme drought, the continuation of even an average dry winter wont help things in the state.
Mike Halpert, deputy director of the Climate Prediction Center, stated “When you’re in California and the Southwest, 90% of the rain falls in that fairly short winter and spring season. So if you miss that, you’re not going to make that up when you get into the summertime.”
The states with the highest likelihood of having unseasonably hot falls are: Colorado, Utah, Texas, New York Pennsylvania, New Jersey and the New England states.
La Niña will mean less rain this fall for most of the country overall. And this fall is suspected to be drier-than-normal across most of the central U.S.
This would be a particularly rare event, being the third La Niña winter in a row. A pattern only seen twice since 1950.
The predictions are expected for September through to November. Predictive models for what happens after November are less certain, giving 50/50 odds of continuing La Nina patterns.
